Pre-tourney Rankings
North Carolina
Atlantic Coast
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.7#7
Expected Predictive Rating+17.2#10
Pace75.8#42
Improvement-0.3#195

Offense
Total Offense+8.9#7
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+3.0#50

Defense
Total Defense+8.9#7
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-3.3#309
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 2.4% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 24.4% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 87.2% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round94.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen69.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight42.6% n/a n/a
Final Four23.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game11.8% n/a n/a
National Champion5.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 123   Northern Iowa W 86-69 94%     1 - 0 +16.5 -0.2 -0.2
  Nov 15, 2017 93   Bucknell W 93-81 92%     2 - 0 +14.5 +1.2 +1.2
  Nov 20, 2017 78   @ Stanford W 96-72 77%     3 - 0 +33.9 +5.0 +5.0
  Nov 23, 2017 271   Portland W 102-78 98%     4 - 0 +17.5 -3.2 -3.2
  Nov 24, 2017 34   Arkansas W 87-68 72%     5 - 0 +30.6 +5.8 +5.8
  Nov 26, 2017 6   Michigan St. L 45-63 49%     5 - 1 -0.1 +9.0 +9.0
  Nov 29, 2017 10   Michigan W 86-71 67%     6 - 1 +28.2 +6.6 +6.6
  Dec 01, 2017 53   @ Davidson W 85-75 69%     7 - 1 +22.6 +6.3 +6.3
  Dec 03, 2017 166   Tulane W 97-73 96%     8 - 1 +21.3 -1.4 -1.4
  Dec 06, 2017 292   Western Carolina W 104-61 99%     9 - 1 +32.2 -5.4 -5.4
  Dec 17, 2017 14   @ Tennessee W 78-73 49%     10 - 1 +22.9 +9.0 +9.0
  Dec 20, 2017 146   Wofford L 75-79 96%     10 - 2 -5.9 -1.0 -1.0
  Dec 23, 2017 17   Ohio St. W 86-72 63%     11 - 2 +28.2 +7.1 +7.1
  Dec 30, 2017 89   Wake Forest W 73-69 91%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +6.8 +1.4 +1.4
  Jan 03, 2018 33   @ Florida St. L 80-81 61%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +13.8 +7.4 +7.4
  Jan 06, 2018 3   @ Virginia L 49-61 28%     12 - 4 1 - 2 +11.7 +11.9 +11.9
  Jan 09, 2018 68   Boston College W 96-66 88%     13 - 4 2 - 2 +34.9 +2.4 +2.4
  Jan 13, 2018 32   @ Notre Dame W 69-68 61%     14 - 4 3 - 2 +15.9 +7.4 +7.4
  Jan 16, 2018 21   Clemson W 87-79 74%     15 - 4 4 - 2 +18.8 +5.4 +5.4
  Jan 20, 2018 108   Georgia Tech W 80-66 93%     16 - 4 5 - 2 +15.4 +0.7 +0.7
  Jan 22, 2018 31   @ Virginia Tech L 69-80 61%     16 - 5 5 - 3 +3.9 +7.5 +7.5
  Jan 27, 2018 39   North Carolina St. L 91-95 OT 82%     16 - 6 5 - 4 +4.0 +4.0 +4.0
  Jan 30, 2018 21   @ Clemson L 78-82 53%     16 - 7 5 - 5 +12.9 +8.4 +8.4
  Feb 03, 2018 204   Pittsburgh W 96-65 97%     17 - 7 6 - 5 +25.5 -2.8 -2.8
  Feb 08, 2018 2   Duke W 82-78 50%     18 - 7 7 - 5 +21.7 +8.9 +8.9
  Feb 10, 2018 39   @ North Carolina St. W 96-89 64%     19 - 7 8 - 5 +21.0 +7.0 +7.0
  Feb 12, 2018 32   Notre Dame W 83-66 80%     20 - 7 9 - 5 +25.8 +4.4 +4.4
  Feb 17, 2018 27   @ Louisville W 93-76 60%     21 - 7 10 - 5 +32.2 +7.6 +7.6
  Feb 21, 2018 54   @ Syracuse W 78-74 69%     22 - 7 11 - 5 +16.6 +6.3 +6.3
  Feb 27, 2018 38   Miami (FL) L 88-91 82%     22 - 8 11 - 6 +5.1 +4.0 +4.0
  Mar 03, 2018 2   @ Duke L 64-74 28%     22 - 9 11 - 7 +13.8 +11.9 +11.9
  Mar 07, 2018 54   Syracuse W 78-59 78%     23 - 9 +28.6 +4.8 +4.8
  Mar 08, 2018 38   Miami (FL) W 82-65 74%     24 - 9 +28.1 +5.6 +5.6
  Mar 09, 2018 2   Duke W 74-69 38%     25 - 9 +25.7 +10.4 +10.4
  Mar 10, 2018 3   Virginia L 63-71 39%     25 - 10 +12.7 +10.3 +10.3
Projected Record 25.0 - 10.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.9 24.4 62.8 12.8 0.1 100.0%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.9 24.4 62.8 12.8 0.1 100.0%